Thursday, March 1, 2018

EuroLeague DraftKings Plays - Thursday March 1st 2018

We have a 5 game slate of EuroLeague Basketball today starting at 1:00pm EST

Picture By Sid the Kid2010 [CC BY 2.0 (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/2.0)], via Wikimedia Commons

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We have a 5 game slate of EuroLeague basketball today! 5 game slates are considered big slates here. The average is 4 and smaller slates have as few as 3. This gives us lots of options to pick from! To start, let's take a look at the slate's implied totals.


EuroLeague Schedule Odds & Lines
Road TeamHome TeamLineOver/UnderAway TotalHome TotalGame Time (ET)
FC BarcelonaZalgiris KaunasZAL -4.5162.578.5831:00 PM
CSKA MoscowMaccabi Tel AvivCSK 617389.583.52:05 PM
Brose BambergValenciaVBC -7155.574.2581.252:30 PM
Anadolu EfesOlimpia MilanoAXM -4.5167.581.5862:45 PM
Khimki MoscowSaski BaskoniaBKN -5.5163.57984.53:00 PM
Implied TotalsGOPRKFOPRK
CSKA Moscow89.51511
Olimpia Milano861214
Saski Baskonia84.5313
Maccabi Tel Aviv83.515
Zalgiris Kaunas83132
Anadolu Efes81.5166
Valencia81.2584
Khimki Moscow79108
FC Barcelona78.51112
Brose Bamberg74.2597
The sweet spots are obviously the teams with the highest implied totals with the biggest opposing position defensive ranking. However, pretty much every team is in play in the right spots. 

Let's take a look at some of the plays I'm looking at with the guard position:

Guards

Alexey Shved is my favorite play at the guard position. He's the lowest price that he's been in months. While Khimki Moscow is the underdog, Saski Baskonia is more beatable at guard than forward which is good for Shved. He has the highest floor in all of EuroLeague having not had a game with less than 30 fantasy points since December. His minutes are secure, consistently getting 30 minutes a game. I'm looking at heavy exposure to Shved today, definitely more than 50%.

Nando De Colo - Excellent matchup. Very "feast or famine" over the last 4 weeks.
Kevin Pangos - Excellent matchup. Higher floor but lower ceiling than De Colo.
Sergio Rodriguez - Same as De Colo, very "feast or famine."
Errick McCollum - Excellent matchup. Streaky, but has the ability to "get buckets."
Thomas Heurtel - Good matchup. I don't mind him if you need a top tier guard that fits salary.

I'm completely fading the mid tier of guards with the exception of Cory Higgins. He has an excellent matchup and has been consistently getting 19 to 25 fantasy points a game with 30 fantasy point upside. That's not bad for $8,400.

Toney Douglas is a lock in the value tier. He's been streaky, however, his upside is immense in an excellent matchup. Vasilije Micic is also in an excellent spot today and he also has immense upside at that price. Juan Carlos Navarro is worth a look ESPECIALLY if Pau Ribas sits again. Finally, if you're looking for a deep punt, take a look at Andrea Cinciarini. His team has a good matchup and he averages over a fantasy point a minute. The issue with him is that his minutes are not consistent.

Forwards

Tornike Shengelia is my favorite play at the forward position. He had a double double in his last game and like Shved he has a super high floor. I'll probably have him in every lineup I don't have Shved in and I may even play them both in some lineups if I can find a way to fit them both in. Will have at least 40% exposure.

Will Clyburn - High upside in a good match. This is his highest price in months though.

Rodrigue Beaubois is my favorite play in the mid tier. He has an excellent matchup and he's scored double digits in 7 consecutive games. He's also averaging more than 3 points above his season fantasy point average over the last 4 games 

Thomas Robinson - Super duper risky coming back from injury but I'll take a chance in 1 or 2 lineups.
Arturas Gudaitis - Wasn't great in his last game but he's been pretty solid in 4 games prior to that. He also has an excellent matchup. 
Adam Hanga - Good matchup and definitely in play if Kevin Seraphin is out.
Ante Tomic - Same as Hanga. Good matchup and definitely in play if Seraphin is out.
Vladimir Micov - Has an excellent matchup and had a big game his last time out.

Adrien Moerman is my favorite play in the value tier. He has had 3 straight games of hitting almost 3x value and he has a good matchup this week.

Artsiom Parakhouski - Don't like the matchup but he's been very consistent. I'll take some chances.
Mindaugas Kuzminskas - Patiently waiting for this kid to explode one day. With the implied total and the matchup, this could be the day that he does it.
Derrick Brown - Absolutely in play with Zoran Dragic out for the season.
Nikita Kurbanov - Has hit 3x value or more in 3 out of the last 4 games. Good matchup.
Brock Motum - Same is Brown. Absolutely in play with Dragic out.

Good luck!

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