Saturday, February 3, 2018

MMA UFC DraftKings Plays - UFC Fight Night 125

We have an 11 fight card live from Brazil. Here is my breakdown of the fighters and how I see them for this card.


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We have a 11 fight card for UFC Fight Night 125. There was one cancellation for this event. John Dodson vs Pedro Munhoz was cancelled after Munhoz came in at 4 pounds overweight.

I like the format that I did last week so I'm going to stick with that. Each fighter will be divided into 3 different tiers and then giving a rating. Ratings will be as follows:
  • 4 stars - Love them as a play this event.
  • 3 stars - Like them as a play this event.
  • 2 stars - Might not play them. If I do, I'll play them as a one off.
  • 1 star - I will not play this fighter at all this event.
Let's start with the top tier of fighters which are priced at $8,700 and above.
  • Valentina Shevchenko - 3 stars. Only concern is price makes it hard to build around.
  • Thiago Santos - 4 stars. My favorite play on the card.
  • Polyana Viana - 3 stars. GPP only due to no UFC experience.
  • Alan Patrick - 2 stars. Should win but priced high for the matchup.
  • Eryk Anders - 3 stars. "Ya Boi" should win and score well but Machida is no push over.
  • Tim Means - 1 star. Very inconsistent and probably needs to finish to win.
  • Marcelo Golm - 3 stars. Should get the finish but you never know with guys who don't have a lot of UFC experience.
Let's move on to the mid tier fighters which are priced at between $7,600 and $8,600.
  • Michel Prazeres - 4 stars. Wrestling and submission upside at a great price. My favorite play in the mid tier.
  • Deiveson Figueiredo - 2 stars. Not crazy about the price considering I see this fight as really close.
  • Marlon Vega - 1 star. I don't like this spot for him and I think he disappoints tonight.
  • Joe Soto - 2 stars. I think this fight can go either way.
  • Iuri Alcantara - 2 stars. I think this fight can go either way.
  • Douglas De Andrade - 2 stars. Don't have to have him but I think he wins.
  • Joseph Morales - 2 stars. Fight is close. I give the edge to his opponent but I like his price better.
  • Desmond Green - 1 star. I don't see him scoring well at all in this spot.
Finally, let's cover the value tier fighters, which are priced at $7,500 or lower.
  • Tim Johnson - 1 star. I see him getting knocked out. Hasn't scored well in the UFC.
  • Sergio Moraes - 3 stars. I see him getting the upset decision win.
  • Lyoto Machida - 2 stars. Don't see him winning but there's not a lot to like down here.
  • Damir Hadzovic - 2 stars. Not picking him to win but if you're going to take a chance in this tier, take a chance with the underdog against an opponent making their UFC debut.
  • Maia Stevenson - 2 stars. Same thoughts as Hadzovic but with lower chances.
  • Anthony Smith - 1 star. I have zero interest.
  • Priscilla Cachoeira - 1 star. Don't be cute. She's not going to win. Period.
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