Thursday, January 25, 2018

DraftKings EuroLeague Basketball - Thursday January 25th 2018

We have a 3 game slate of EuroLeague Basketball today. Here are some good research points and some of the players I am looking at today.

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We have a 3 game slate of Euroleague basketball. When building my lineups I generally like to target players on the best teams with the best matchups. There are exceptions of course like in the case of injuries. However, that's generally what I like to do. So with that said here is a break down of the slate and the matchups today:

EuroLeague Schedule Odds & Lines
Road TeamHome TeamLineOver/Under
Zalgiris KaunasPanathinaikosPAO -8153
Anadolu EfesReal MadridRMB -12169
Saski BaskoniaUnicajaUNI -3158.5
Implied Totals
Real Madrid90.5
Anadolu Efes78.5
Saski Baskonia77.75
Zalgiris Kaunas72.5
Guard MatchupsOPRKForward MatchupsOPRK
Saski Baskonia15Real Madrid16
Panathinaikos12Saski Baskonia14
Real Madrid11Panathinaikos12
Anadolu Efes6Anadolu Efes6
Zalgiris Kaunas2Zalgiris Kaunas4

As you can see, Real Madrid has the highest implied total and good to great matchups at both guard and forward. Panathinaikos and Saski Baskonia have average implied totals but good to great matchups at both positions as well. Each of those three teams would make excellent starting points in building lineups.

The first question to decide is what are you doing at guard. Namanja Nedovic is questionable today with arthritis in his right hand. So while he would normally be under consideration he might not even play. If he doesn't play, that increases the value of Ray MaCallum in a positive guard matchup for Unicaja.

The top options at guard are Nick Calathes, Luka Doncic and Kevin Pangos. Paulius Jankunas is out for Zalgiris so that could result in an increased usage for Pangos. He also scored 39 fantasy points the last time they played. The downside is it's the worst matchup on the slate from both an implied total standpoint as well as a defensive matchup standpoint. Calathes and Doncic have much better matchups. I like Calathes the best. Not only does he have the slightly better matchup at guard, he's got the better number trend. He's averaging almost 2 minutes more over his last 4 games than his season average. He's also averaging 5.5 more fantasy points than his season average over that same span.

Toney Douglas has scored more than 5 times value in 2 out of the 3 games he's played this season. He got a big price increase but he still may be too cheap if he does anything close to what he did last week.

Other players worth a look due to matchup are:

  • Jayson Granger $7,300
  • Matt Jenning $5,400
  • Nikos Pappas $6,200
  • Facundo Campazzo $7,600
  • JayCee Carroll $3,900 
As for Forward if you want to pay up for that position it's hard not to like Tornike Shengelia. Baskonia has an elite matchup at the Forward position today and he's coming off a 41 fantasy point explosion. Bryant Dunston has a tough matchup and his minutes over the last 4 games is significantly lower than his season average. Chris Singleton has the much better matchup and a much better minutes trend plus he's cheaper.

Other players worth a look due to matchup are:
  • Walter Tavares $7,400 (plus Tompkins and Randolph are questionable)
  • Rudy Fernandez $6,300 (Same as Tavares)
  • Rodrigue Beaubois $7,500
  • Vincent Poirier $7,100
  • James Gist $8,600
  • KC Rivers $6,500
Finally while the matchup isn't great I like Adam Waczynski $5,800 and Giorgi Shermadini $4,900. They are both averaging 2 to 3 fantasy points more than their average over the last 4 games and both players have upside that exceeds their salary for today.

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