Tuesday, December 19, 2017

EuroLeague DraftKings Plays - Wednesday December 20th

We have a 4 game slate of EuroLeague basketball on DraftKings. Here are the implied totals, injury news and recommended players that I am looking at for this slate.

Picture By Sid the Kid2010 [CC BY 2.0 (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/2.0)], via Wikimedia Commons

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We have a 4 game slate of EuroLeague action on DraftKings. Let's start with our implied totals for tomorrow's games:
  • Khimki Moscow 86
  • Barcelona 83
  • Baskonia 81.5
  • Anadolu Efes 80.5
  • CSKA Moscow 80
  • Olimpia Milan 80
  • Olympiacos 75.5
  • Unicaja 75.5
Let's take a look at the injury report:

Khimki Moscow
  • Thomas Robinson (out wrist)
Anadolu Efes
  • Dogus Balbay (out, team decision)
  • Yigitcan Saybir (out, team decision)
  • Georgios Printezis (doubtful, leg)
  • Nikola Milutinov (out, ankle sprain)
  • Dimitris Agravanis (likely out, ACL injury)
CSKA Moscow
  • Leo Westermann (out, hip)
  • Andrey Vorontsevich (out, ankle)
  • Othello Hunter (out, hip)
Here are the players that I will be targeting based on the following price tiers:

Top Tier ($10,000 and Above)

Alexey Shved G - He's the most expensive player on the slate and will probably be the highest owned player as well. However, he's got the highest floor, the highest ceiling and his team has the highest implied total. Fade at your own risk!

Vladimir Stimac F - He's the leading rebounder in the league playing against a team that is the 5th worst in the league in that department. Definitely see high 30s fantasy point upside in this matchup if he can own the boards.

I am fading all the CSKA Moscow top tier players on this slate. Olympiacos are one of the best defensive teams in the league and both De Colo and Rodriguez salaries have gone up. Clyburn is at the lowest salary that he's been at all season but he's also coming off one of the worst fantasy performances of the season as well. So I have no interest in paying up for the Moscow studs this week.

Mid Tier ($7,000 to $9,900)

Errick McCollum G - He's streaky but I don't mind taking my chances on him. He's got 4x fantasy point upside if he gets hot with his scoring and Anadolu Efes has the 4th highest implied total playing in the highest paced game on the slate.

Arturas Gudaitis F - Olimpia Milan is playing in the game with the 2nd highest pace for this slate and it's projected to be close. The last close game they played he hit 33 DK points, which would be good for 4x value at his current price.

Kostas Papanikolaou F - Olympiacos has 3 forwards who are likely out for this game. He's exceeded what would be 3x value for his current price in 3 consecutive games. He's a lock for me on this slate. He will be highly owned though.

Cory Higgins G - He's scored double digit points in 7 consecutive games yet his price while moving up is still at the bottom of the mid tier. He's a must play for me at that price.

Value Tier ($6,900 and Below)

Adam Waczynski F - He's scored 15, 25 and 15 actual points in his last 3 consecutive games. While his price is creeping up that type of production is good for a 3x floor and a 6x ceiling at his current price.

Vincent Poirier F - He had a monster game last week Friday scoring 49 DK points. Baskonia has the 3rd highest implied total. It could be a fluke but I don't mind taking a chance and seeing if he can do anything close to what he did last week again.

Hollis Thompson F - He had a bad game last week but Olympiacos is short handed at Forward. He should get more minutes and thus exceed value.

Jamel McLean F - As long as he gets the minutes he should have no issue exceeding 3x value with his fantasy points. With Olympiacos being banged up at the forward position, he should have a good shot at getting the minutes.

Phil Pressey G - He's super cheap but over his last 5 games he's scored at least 13.8 fantasy points putting his floor at 3x value. Doesn't have a high ceiling but his price can help you pay up for somebody else.

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