Tuesday, November 28, 2017

NBA DraftKings Plays - Tuesday November 28th 2017

We have a 5 game slate tonight on DraftKings in NBA tonight. Here are my recommended plays on DraftKings tonight.

Picture By Keith Allison [CC BY-SA 2.0 (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-sa/2.0)], via Wikimedia Commons

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We have a 5 game slate of NBA action tonight on DraftKings. I'm fine with pretty much all the teams tonight. On paper it doesn't look like there will be too many blowouts.

Last night was not a successful night for me on DraftKings. I was profitable on GPP able to produce a 25% ROI. However, I only won 30% of my 3 man contests and lost all other contest types so it was a losing night.

I will break down the plays I like into 3 different price points. Top Tier, Mid Tier and Value Tier. Here they are:

Top Tier Plays - $8,100 and Up

Favorite Cash Play: Giannis Antetokounmpo $11,200 SF/PF - Not a high Vegas implied total but has the highest usage on his team and has a positive matchup in both Defense Vs Position and Defensive Real Plus Minus. Plus he has the highest percentage of games hitting 4x value out of everyone on the entire slate at over 88%

Favorite GPP Play: Nikola Jokic $8,700 C - Not the best matchup by any stretch of the imagination but Jokic has immense upside. His price tonight is towards the middle of where he has been priced at this year. He has the 2nd highest percentage of hitting 5x value out of all forwards and centers on this slate at over 52%. Not safe for cash because of the matchup and you're not getting a huge discount on the salary. However, in GPP I'm going to have a lot of him tonight.

Other Plays:
  • LeBron James SF/PF (All Formats)
  • Karl-Anthony Towns C (All Formats)
  • Hassan Whiteside C (GPP)
  • Devin Booker SG/SF (GPP)
Mid Tier Plays - $5,000 to $7,900

Favorite Cash Play: Bradley Beal $7,900 SG - With no John Wall, Beal's usage jumps up to 37.2% and he averages 1.20 fantasy points per minute. He has the 2nd highest percentage of games hitting 4x value out of anyone on the entire slate at over 84% and that's even with Wall in the lineup. Beal is a no brainer play tonight.

Favorite GPP Play: Marcin Gortat $5,000 C - Gortat has an incredible matchup tonight as the Timberwolves are horrendous at both DvP and DRPM against Centers. With great options at Center in the top tier I expect people to pay up for Center and thus keep Gortat low owned. He also does a great job at hitting value. 4x value over 73% of the time. 5x value over 52% of the time. 6x value over 36% of the time.

Other Plays:
  • Goran Dragic PG (Cash)
  • TJ Warren SF/PF (GPP)
  • Kevin Love PF/C (GPP)
  • Eric Bledsoe PG/SG (All Formats)
  • Khris Middleton SG/SF (GPP)
  • Otto Porter SF/PF (All Formats)
  • Will Barton SG/SF (All Formats)
  • Derrick Favors PF/C (All Formats)
  • Taj Gibson PF/C (GPP)
  • Denzel Valentine SG/SF (GPP)
  • Justin Holiday SG/SF (All Formats)
  • Gary Harris SG (All Formats)
  • Bobby Portis PF (GPP)
  • Willie Cauley-Stein PF/C (All Formats)
Value Plays - $4,900 and Below

Favorite Cash Play: Tim Frazier $4,100 PG - He has a great matchup tonight against the Timberwolves. He's only $4,100 and he's the starting point guard for the Wizards tonight. He's too cheap for the amount of minutes he's expected to get, which should be over 30. Lock him in.

Favorite GPP Play: Joe Ingles $4,800 SG/SF - He has a great matchup tonight against the Nuggets who give up a lot of fantasy points to the small forward position and has a liability at DRPM. He hits 5x value 65% of the time this season and 6x value 35% of the time.

Other Plays:
  • Jerian Grant PG/SG (GPP)
  • Markieff Morris SF/PF (All Formats)
  • Tyus Jones PG/SG (GPP ONLY IF TEAGUE IS OUT)
  • Josh Jackson SG/SF (GPP)
  • Kenneth Faried PF/C (GPP)
  • Gorgui Dieng PF/C (GPP)
  • Juan Hernangomez SF/PF (GPP)
  • Garrett Temple PG/SG (GPP)
  • Jose Calderon PG (GPP)
  • Frank Mason PG/SG (GPP)

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