Thursday, November 30, 2017

NBA Draft Plays - Thursday November 30th 2017

Tired of losing money every night in fantasy NBA? Check out my article highlighting my recommended plays on Draft as well as the contests that I am targeting playing tonight.

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We have a 5 game slate of NBA action tonight. This is a great night to play on Draft! Tonight, Draft is running head to head contests, 3 person contests, 5 person contests, dream team contests and tournaments. There's one tournament currently available, a 3 person draft tournament for $23 with a 2 person match. If that's within your budget, definitely go for it! As you know I am a fan of the 3 person draft tournaments.

Last night was a good night on Draft for me. I cashed 50% of my 3 person contest. I cashed 100% of my head to head contests. I cashed 100% of my 6 person and 10 person contests. I advanced to the quarterfinals in a 3 person draft tournament and if I win tonight, I will at minimum break even from losing the other contests when I maxed entered this tournament. I even cashed in smaller dream team contests. 

Here is my contest exposure tonight:
  • 30% - Head to Head Contests
  • 30% - 3 Man Contests
  • 20% - 5 Man Contests
  • 20% - Dream Team Contests
I'm also in the quarterfinals for a 3 person draft tournament so I will be building a team for that.


There's no injury concerns tonight with the players that I am looking to target. Since 5 person is the biggest contest running tonight, I'm going to do 5 tiers of players with 5 players in each tier. Here are the players I am targeting:

Tier 1
  • LeBron James F
  • Giannis Antetokounmpo F
  • Ben Simmons F
  • Damian Lillard G
  • Nikola Jokic C
Tier 2
  • Kevin Love F
  • Lou Williams G
  • Kyrie Irving G
  • Al Horford C
  • Dennis Schroder G
Tier 3
  • Eric Bledsoe G
  • Donovan Mitchell G
  • Jusuf Nurkic C
  • Khris Middleton G
  • CJ McCollum G
Tier 4
  • Kris Dunn G
  • DeAndre Jordan C
  • Derrick Favors F
  • Will Barton F
  • Lauri Markkanen F
Tier 5
  • Robert Covington F
  • John Collins F
  • Joe Ingles F
  • Austin Rivers G
  • Robin Lopez C
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Wednesday, November 29, 2017

Euro League Basketball - Thursday November 30th 2017

We have a 5 game slate of Euro League Basketball. Here's who I like in today's slate

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So I was just clicking around on DraftKings after making my PGA lineups and I came across a link for Euro League Basketball. I'm about to catch up on some TV before I go to bed so I figure, why don't I just submit a GPP lineup and see how I do just for the fun of it? Hey, you never know! So this will be my first article for Euro League Basketball. No promises that I'm going to do these all the time. We will see how it goes.

Since Europe is several hours ahead of the United States, the games start in the afternoon over here, which is the evening over there. The cool thing about that is you can submit your lineups either late at night or early in the morning. Then once those games start, you can begin your NBA research.

For today's slate, there are 5 games. Whenever I analyze NBA basketball I start out with the Vegas totals. So it makes sense to start out there as well with Euro League Basketball. Here are the odds and over/unders for each game:

  • Brose Bamberg +6 vs Khimki M -6 OU 156.5 (BRO vs KHI)
  • Olimpia Milano +5 vs Anadolu Efes -5 OU 162 (AXM vs EFS)
  • Zalgiris Kaunas +4 vs Mccabi Tel Aviv -4 OU 158 (ZAL vs MTA)
  • Fenerbahce Ulker -1.5 vs Saski Baskonia +1.5 OU 155 (FBD vs BKN)
  • Olympiakos +1 vs Valencia -1 OU 147 1/2 (OLY vs VBC)
Using this data, I have calculated the following Vegas Implied Totals for each team:
  • Anadolu Efes 83.5
  • Khimki M 81.25
  • Mccabi  Tel Aviv 81
  • Olimpia Milano 78.5
  • Fenerbahce Ulker 78.25
  • Zalgiris Kaunas 77
  • Saski Baskonia 76.75
  • Brose Bamberg 75.25
  • Valencia 74.25
  • Olympiakos 73.25
As we can see Anadolu Efes has the highest Vegas Implied total and Olympiakos has the lowest. All things being equal, I'm looking to target the best players from the teams with the highest Vegas Implied totals.

On DraftKings your lineup consists of 2 guards, 3 forwards and a Utility spot, which you can insert a player of any position.


I've divided the players into three different price points. Top Tier, Mid Tier and Value Tier. I'm only playing GPP so I won't be separating players into cash plays or GPP plays. Here's who I like on today's slate:
Top Tier - $9,000 and Up
  • Alexey Shved G - $12,800 32.6 FPPG. Team banged up will need to carry even bigger load.
  • Brad Wanamaker G - $10,700 27.2 FPPG. His other starting guard is out. Had his best game with him out.
  • Jordan Theodore G - $10,100 23.5 FPPG. His other starting guard is out but salary has been adjusted to account for increased role.
  • Vladimir Stimac F - $10,000 25.9 FPPG. Team's 2nd leading scorer and leading rebounder.
  • Pierre Jackson G - $9,800 25.6 FPPG. Very consistent. Huge ceiling.
  • Bryant Dunston F - $9,400 26.1 FPPG. Good scorer. Very consistent minutes.
Mid Tier $7,100 to $8,900
  • Arturas Gudaitis F - $8,400 21.3 FPPG. Inconsistent at times but rebounds well.
  • James Anderson G - $8,300 23.3 FPPG. Consistent minutes, good ceiling but inconsistent.
  • Krunoslav Simon F - $8,200 21.24 FPPG. Ceiling is dependent on his shot falling.
  • Eric McCollum G - $8,000 21.3 FPPG. High ceiling. Low floor
Value Tier $6,900 and Below
  • Malcolm Thomas F - $7,100 17.5 FPPG. Front court banged up. Could get more minutes.
  • Curtis Jerrells G - $6,500 27.8 FPPG - Only played 3 games but exceeded value in 2 of them.
  • Jonan Bolden F - $5,500 16.3 FPPG - Has hit 3.5x value 4 straight games.
  • Josh Adams G - $5,400 13.5 FPPG -  GPP Flyer only. Can exceed value if he gets hot and gets minutes.
  • Mantas Kalnietis - $4,900 14.3FPPG - Backcourt injury may create additional opportunity.

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PGA Draft & DraftKings Plays - Thursday November 30th 2017

It's the Hero World Challenge! We have a 18 player no cut event this weekend. Here are my plays for Draft and DraftKings

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This weekend is the last PGA event for the 2017 calendar year. It's the Hero World Challenge live from Albany in the Bahamas. Hosted by Tiger Woods this event does not count towards the PGA tour. However, it does come with a 1 million dollar top prize! Both Draft and DraftKings are hosting contests for it. This event also marks the return of Tiger Woods to the PGA!

Since the player pool is so small, Draft is only offering 2 types of contests for this event. They are head to head contests and dream team contests. Since there are only small contests available, I'm going to provide 2 tiers of players to choose from. Each tier will have 5 players each.

Tier 1
  • Jordan Spieth
  • Dustin Johnson
  • Ricky Fowler
  • Justin Thomas
  • Justin Rose
Tier 2
  • Brooks Koepka
  • Hideki Matsuyama
  • Henrik Stenson
  • Patrick Reed
  • Matt Kuchar

For DraftKings, I will provide a breakdown of all 18 golfers based on the following price points. Top Tier $8,600 and Above. Mid Tier $7,000 to $8,200. Value Tier $6,800 and Below.

Top Tier $8,600 and Above
  • Justin Thomas $11,100 - Fade.
  • Dustin Johnson $10,700 - In Play All Formats
  • Jordan Spieth $10,500 - In Play All Formats
  • Ricky Fowler $9,600 - In Play All Formats
  • Brooks Koepka $9,200 - GPP Only
  • Justin Rose $8,600 - GPP Only
Mid Tier $7,000 to $8,200
  • Hideki Matsuyama $8,200 - GPP Only
  • Henrik Stenson - $7,800 - In Play All Formats
  • Patrick Reed - $7,500 - In Play All Formats
  • Daniel Berger - $7,300 - Fade
  • Kevin Kisner - $7,100 - Fade
  • Matt Kuchar - $7,000 - In Play All Formats
Value Tier - $6,800 and Below
  • Tommy Fleetwood - $6,800 - In Play All Formats
  • Francesco Molinari - $6,600 - GPP Only
  • Tiger Woods - $6,500 - FADE FADE FADE FADE FADE!!!!!!!
  • Kevin Chappell - $6,400 - Fade
  • Alexander Noran - $6,300 - GPP Only
  • Charley Hoffman - $6,200 - In Play All Formats

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NBA DraftKings Plays - Wednesday November 29th, 2017

We have a 10 game slate of NBA action tonight on DraftKings. Here are the players that I will be targeting in my lineups.

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We have a 10 game slate tonight on DraftKings. Since I'm short of time tonight, I'm just going to give you the players that I'm targeting tonight separated by price tiers.

Top Tier Players - $8,000 and Above
  • Stephen Curry (All Formats)
  • Andre Drummond (All Formats)
  • Bradley Beal (All Fromats)
  • DeMarcus Cousins (All Formats)
  • Russell Westbrook (All Formats)
  • James Harden (All Formats)
Mid Tier Players - $5,000 to $7,900
  • Nicolas Batum (All Formats)
  • Tobias Harris (All Formats)
  • Harrison Barnes (All Formats)
  • Dennis Smith Jr (All Formats)
  • Dwight Howard (All Formats)
  • Steven Adams (All Formats)
Value Tier Players - $4,900 and Below
  • Wesley Matthews (All Formats)
  • Caris Levert (All Formats)
  • Bam Abebayo (All Formats)
  • Michael Carter-Williams (All Formats)
  • Jonathon Simmons (GPP)
  • Bojan Bogdanovic (GPP)
  • Pascal Siakim (GPP)
  • Stanley Johnson (All Formats)
  • Ryan Anderson (GPP)

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NBA Draft Plays - Wednesday November 29th 2017

We have a 10 game slate of NBA action on Draft tonight. Here are the players that I am targeting tonight.

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So tonight we have a 10 game slate of NBA action for our contests on Draft! Tonight's contest feature head to head contests, 3 person contests, 6 person contests, 10 person contests, dream team contests and tournaments. We have two tournaments on deck tonight. There's a 6 Person Draft tournament ($9) and a 5 person draft tournament ($23).

I'm fading the tournaments tonight. I'm not a fan of the tournaments that exceed 3 person draft styles unless you already have a significant ROI to work from on Draft.

Last night was not a successful night for me. I max entered TWO 3 person draft tournaments (6 entries at $5 a piece) and only had one lineup advance to the next round. I'm going to now need to make it to the 4th round just to break even. Even worse, I only cashed in head to head last night. I failed to cash in every single other contest type.

From an injury standpoint Hassan Whiteside is out tonight with a knee injury. Stepehn Curry and Kevin Durant are both probable tonight after missing Monday night's game. Kemba Walker is out tonight with a shoulder injury. Victor Oladipo is questionable tonight with a knee injury. Joel Embiid is questionable tonight due to illness. Paul George is probable tonight with illness. Ben Simmons will be a game time decision tonight with an ankle injury. DeMar DeRozen is probable tonight with a knee injury. Enes Kanter is probable tonight with a back injury. Jeff Teague is questionable with an achilles injury.

My recommendation is to fade the questionable players in 10 person contests as well as 6 person contests if the player is in any tier higher than tier 3. For all other contests, I would recommend drafting no more than 1 player for your roster who is questionable. For the probable players, I would feel free to draft them in any format.

Since we have 10 person contests tonight, I'm going to give you 5 tiers of players. Each tier will have 10 players each. Let's get started:

Tier 1
  • DeMarcus Cousins C
  • James Harden G
  • Russell Westbrook G
  • Anthony Davis F
  • Stephen Curry G
  • Kevin Durant F
  • Joel Embid C
  • Andre Drummond C
  • Ben Simmons F
  • Bradley Beal G
Tier 2
  • Chris Paul G
  • Paul George F
  • Kristaps Porzingis F
  • Victor Oladipo G
  • Karl-Anthony Towns F
  • DeMar DeRozen G
  • Kyle Lowry G
  • Dwight Howard C
  • LaMarcus Aldridge F
  • Marc Gasol C
Tier 3
  • Jimmy Butler G
  • Draymond Green F
  • Clint Capela C
  • Devin Booker G
  • Klay Thompson G
  • Otto Porter F
  • Nikola Vucevic C
  • Harrison Barnes F
  • Goran Dragic G
  • Tobias Harris F
Tier 4
  • Spencer Dinwiddie G
  • Aaron Gordon F
  • Carmelo Anthony F
  • Tyreke Evans G
  • Nicolas Batum G
  • Andrew Wiggins F
  • TJ Warren F
  • Dion Waiters G
  • DeMarre Carroll F
  • Tim Hardaway Jr G
Tier 5
  • Lonzo Ball G
  • Elfrid Payton G
  • Steven Adams C
  • Enes Kanter C
  • Robert Covington F
  • James Johnson F
  • Myles Turner F
  • Taj Gibson F
  • Jeff Teague G
  • Pau Gasol C
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Tuesday, November 28, 2017

NBA DraftKings Plays - Tuesday November 28th 2017

We have a 5 game slate tonight on DraftKings in NBA tonight. Here are my recommended plays on DraftKings tonight.

Picture By Keith Allison [CC BY-SA 2.0 (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-sa/2.0)], via Wikimedia Commons

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We have a 5 game slate of NBA action tonight on DraftKings. I'm fine with pretty much all the teams tonight. On paper it doesn't look like there will be too many blowouts.

Last night was not a successful night for me on DraftKings. I was profitable on GPP able to produce a 25% ROI. However, I only won 30% of my 3 man contests and lost all other contest types so it was a losing night.

I will break down the plays I like into 3 different price points. Top Tier, Mid Tier and Value Tier. Here they are:

Top Tier Plays - $8,100 and Up

Favorite Cash Play: Giannis Antetokounmpo $11,200 SF/PF - Not a high Vegas implied total but has the highest usage on his team and has a positive matchup in both Defense Vs Position and Defensive Real Plus Minus. Plus he has the highest percentage of games hitting 4x value out of everyone on the entire slate at over 88%

Favorite GPP Play: Nikola Jokic $8,700 C - Not the best matchup by any stretch of the imagination but Jokic has immense upside. His price tonight is towards the middle of where he has been priced at this year. He has the 2nd highest percentage of hitting 5x value out of all forwards and centers on this slate at over 52%. Not safe for cash because of the matchup and you're not getting a huge discount on the salary. However, in GPP I'm going to have a lot of him tonight.

Other Plays:
  • LeBron James SF/PF (All Formats)
  • Karl-Anthony Towns C (All Formats)
  • Hassan Whiteside C (GPP)
  • Devin Booker SG/SF (GPP)
Mid Tier Plays - $5,000 to $7,900

Favorite Cash Play: Bradley Beal $7,900 SG - With no John Wall, Beal's usage jumps up to 37.2% and he averages 1.20 fantasy points per minute. He has the 2nd highest percentage of games hitting 4x value out of anyone on the entire slate at over 84% and that's even with Wall in the lineup. Beal is a no brainer play tonight.

Favorite GPP Play: Marcin Gortat $5,000 C - Gortat has an incredible matchup tonight as the Timberwolves are horrendous at both DvP and DRPM against Centers. With great options at Center in the top tier I expect people to pay up for Center and thus keep Gortat low owned. He also does a great job at hitting value. 4x value over 73% of the time. 5x value over 52% of the time. 6x value over 36% of the time.

Other Plays:
  • Goran Dragic PG (Cash)
  • TJ Warren SF/PF (GPP)
  • Kevin Love PF/C (GPP)
  • Eric Bledsoe PG/SG (All Formats)
  • Khris Middleton SG/SF (GPP)
  • Otto Porter SF/PF (All Formats)
  • Will Barton SG/SF (All Formats)
  • Derrick Favors PF/C (All Formats)
  • Taj Gibson PF/C (GPP)
  • Denzel Valentine SG/SF (GPP)
  • Justin Holiday SG/SF (All Formats)
  • Gary Harris SG (All Formats)
  • Bobby Portis PF (GPP)
  • Willie Cauley-Stein PF/C (All Formats)
Value Plays - $4,900 and Below

Favorite Cash Play: Tim Frazier $4,100 PG - He has a great matchup tonight against the Timberwolves. He's only $4,100 and he's the starting point guard for the Wizards tonight. He's too cheap for the amount of minutes he's expected to get, which should be over 30. Lock him in.

Favorite GPP Play: Joe Ingles $4,800 SG/SF - He has a great matchup tonight against the Nuggets who give up a lot of fantasy points to the small forward position and has a liability at DRPM. He hits 5x value 65% of the time this season and 6x value 35% of the time.

Other Plays:
  • Jerian Grant PG/SG (GPP)
  • Markieff Morris SF/PF (All Formats)
  • Tyus Jones PG/SG (GPP ONLY IF TEAGUE IS OUT)
  • Josh Jackson SG/SF (GPP)
  • Kenneth Faried PF/C (GPP)
  • Gorgui Dieng PF/C (GPP)
  • Juan Hernangomez SF/PF (GPP)
  • Garrett Temple PG/SG (GPP)
  • Jose Calderon PG (GPP)
  • Frank Mason PG/SG (GPP)

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NBA Draft Plays - Tuesday November 29th 2017

We have a 5 game slate of NBA action tonight on Draft. Here are my recommended plays tonight!

Picture By Keith Allison from Hanover, MD, USA (Bradley Beal) [CC BY-SA 2.0 (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-sa/2.0)], via Wikimedia Commons

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Tonight we have a 5 game slate of NBA action on Draft! Draft is running Head to Head contests, 3 Person Contests, 6 Person Contests, Dream Team Contests and Tournaments. There is a 3 person tournament ($5) a 4 Person tournament ($23) and a head to head tournament ($110). The 3 person tournament has a 3 entry max. The other 2 tournaments are single entry.

I am ALL IN on the 3 person tournament tonight and will be submitting a maximum of 3 entries. Draft doesn't always offer 3 person tournaments and this is the first time I've seen a NBA 3 entry tournament that is more than single entry. So I will be maxing out that tournament tonight.

Last night was an unsuccessful night. I only cashed in 33% of my 3 man contests and I didn't cash in any other contest. That allowed me to only get 38% of my entry fees back.

Since the biggest contest is 6 entry I'm going to provide you 5 tiers of players with each tier having 6 players each. They are as follows:

Tier 1
  • Giannis Antetokounmpo F
  • Lebron James F
  • Karl-Anthony Towns F
  • Nikola Jokic C
  • Bradley Beal G
  • Jimmy Butler G
Tier 2
  • Hassan Whiteside C
  • TJ Warren F
  • Kevin Love F
  • Devin Booker G
  • Khris Middleton G
  • Otto Porter Jr F
Tier 3

  • Goran Dragic G
  • Eric Bledsoe G
  • Donovan Mitchell G
  • Andrew Wiggins F
  • Will Barton F
  • Lauri Markkanen F
Tier 4
  • Denzel Valentine G
  • Jeff Teague G
  • Derrick Favors F
  • Gary Harris G
  • Willie Cauley-Stein C
  • Justin Holiday G
Tier 5
  • Robin Lopez C
  • James Johnson F
  • Marcin Gortat C
  • Dion Waiters G
  • Joe Ingles F
  • Tyson Chandler C
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Monday, November 27, 2017

NBA DraftKings Plays - Monday November 27th 2017

We have an 8 game NBA Slate tonight on DraftKings. Here are my recommended plays for tonight's slate!

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Tonight we have an 8 game slate of live NBA action on DraftKings. With there being a number of injuries tonight this has opened the door for lots of value on tonight's slate. I'm going to highlight on this article the plays that I like. 

Last night was an ok night for me in NBA. I struck out in GPPs completely. However I cashed in 71% of my 3 man contests, allowing me to make a small profit.

As usual, I will break them down into three different price tiers. They are:
  • Top Tier = $8,200 and Up
  • Mid Tier = $5,600 to $8,000
  • Value Tier = $5,500 and Below
On a big slate like this there are lots of good plays. However, you cannot play everybody if you want to win. These are the players that I am playing tonight. If I don't have them listed here it doesn't mean that they are not a good play. It simply means that I am not playing them tonight.

Let's start with the Top Tier:

Favorite Cash Play: Joel Embiid $10,400 C - Embiid is SUPER expensive tonight! This is easily his highest price that he has had this season. For this reason, he is a complete and utter fade in GPP contests for me tonight. However in cash I am locking him in! Here's why. For starters, he has the highest fantasy points per minute average on DraftKings over ANY player on this entire slate at just under 1.50 fantasy points scored per minute. The 76'ers have the 2nd highest Vegas Implied total out of all teams on this slate. When on the card he has a usage rate of over 35% and Ben Simmons is questionable tonight. Should he not play, he gets an additional 3% usage increase when Simmons is off the court. He hit 4x value over 72% of the time over the last 4 weeks. Plus with all of the value that's available tonight, we can afford the high price tag.

Favorite GPP Play: James Harden $11,800 PG/SG - It was pretty much between Harden and LeBron James as my favorite GPP play in the top tier. I gave the slight edge to Harden. He's higher price and Chris Paul is back and playing well, plus they have the far weaker opponent so there's blowout risk. As a result, I expect him to have less ownership than James. His team has the highest Vegas Implied Total on the entire slate. J.J Reddick is not a good defender. He was just as risky against the Knicks the other night yet he still hit 5.6 times value and in the top tier you really only need 5x value from your superstar to have him in the winning GPP lineup. I wouldn't play him in cash because James and Embiid are safer. However, give me Harden low owned in a great matchup in GPP any night of the week!

Other Plays I Like:
  • LeBron James (All Formats)
  • Ben Simmons (GPP Only)
  • Blake Griffin (GPP Only)
  • Damian Lillard (GPP Only)
Next, let's move to the mid tier:

Favorite Cash Play: Klay Thompson $7,000 SG - With Stephen Curry and Kevin Durant both out, Klay Thompson becomes the focal point in the Warrior offense. In 132 minutes playing without them on the floor he averages a fantasy point per minute and leads the team in usage rate with 31.2%. If you're not playing Klay Thompson in cash tonight, you're research process is broken.

Favorite GPP Play: Lou Williams $6,500 PG/SG - As long as Patrick Beverley and Milos Teodosic remain out you have to like the upside of Lou Williams. He is 2nd to Blake Griffin in usage rate with them off the court with 29.1%. He averages 1.06 fantasy points per minute with them off the court as well. Over the last 4 weeks he's hit 4x value almost 70% of the time, 5x value almost 40% of the time and 6x value almost 25% of the time. You can even play him in cash as well.

Other Plays I like:
  • Draymond Green (All Formats)
  • Clint Capela (All Formats)
  • Chris Paul (All Formats)
Finally, let's move to the value tier:

Favorite Cash Play: Trevor Booker $4,600 PF/C - Booker has been very consistent over the last 4 weeks hitting 4x value over 70% of the time and 5x value almost 60% of the time. Allen Crabbe and Ronde Hollis-Jefferson are out tonight and DeMarre Carrolle is questionable. Booker has played the most amount of minutes this season without these two on the floor. He has a good usage rate of 25.5% and averages 1.21 fantasy points per minute when they are not on the floor. His usage increases even more if Carrolle sits tonight. Fire him up in all formats.

Favorite GPP Play: Harrison Barnes $5,500 SF/PF - Barnes will be my most owned player tonight on this slate in GPP. The Spurs are in the bottom 40% of the league in allow fantasy points scored to the small forward position. The last time he was priced this low he hit over 7x value. Over his last 3 games he has hit 5.8x 6.2x and 7.4x value. Barnes will be in almost every GPP lineup I play tonight.

Other Plays I like:
  • Shaun Livingston (All Formats)
  • Omri Casspi (All Formats)
  • Joe Harris (GPP Only)
  • Nick Young (GPP Only)
  • Jordan Bell (GPP Only)
  • Tyler Zeller (GPP Only)
  • David West (GPP Only)
  • Patrick McCaw (GPP Only)
  • Sean Kilpatrick (GPP Only)

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NBA Draft Plays - Monday September 27th 2017

We have a 8 game NBA slate on Draft tonight. Here are the players that I am targeting tonight on Draft.

Picture By Keith Allison from Hanover, MD, USA (Draymond Green) [CC BY-SA 2.0 (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-sa/2.0)], via Wikimedia Commons


It's Monday! Thanksgiving weekend has come and gone. We have a 8 game slate of NBA action available on Draft. Draft is rolling with head to head, 3 person contests, 6 person contests, 10 person contests, dream team and tournaments. There are 3 tournaments available. There's a 6 person tournament ($5) 5 Person tournament ($23) and Head to Head tournament ($110). The only tournament I would recommend is the head to head if that's in your budget. The other tournaments should be avoided unless you have a high ROI already to play with.

Yesterday was not a successful day. I took a risk and drafted Devin Booker and Jeff Teague who had a questionable status. Both players were ruled out and I had to swap them out for replacements. As a result, I was only able to win a little less than half my entry fees back

We have some injury issues as well on this slate. Stephen Curry is out with a bruised right hand. Kevin Durant is out with an ankle injury. Ben Simmons is questionable with a knee injury. Kristaps Porzingis is questionable with a back injury. Draymond Green will play tonight with a bruised right foot. Victor Oladipo is questionable with a knee injury. Obviously this news is SUPER significant as it has a HUGE impact on how to attack this slate.

My recommendation is to either wait until there is more news on what their status is. However, if you cannot or don't want to do that, you can draft assuming that they are going to play. However, just be careful not to take too many injured players. I would fade all of them on a 6 or 10 player contest. However, the smaller contests, I don't mind taking a chance on one of them and just swapping out if they end up being ruled out.

With an 8 game slate, I'm going to provide you with 5 tiers of players. Each tier will have 6 players each. Here they are:

Tier 1
  • LeBron James F
  • James Harden G
  • Blake Griffin F
  • Joel Embiid C
  • Ben Simmons F
  • Damian Lillard G
Tier 2
  • Andre Drummond C
  • Chris Paul G
  • Kyrie Irving G
  • Kristaps Porzingis F
  • Clint Capela C
  • Lou Williams G
Tier 3
  • Draymond Green F
  • LaMarcus Aldridge F
  • Klay Thompson G
  • Nikola Vucevic C
  • Victor Oladipo G
  • Spencer Dinwiddle G
Tier 4
  • Kevin Love F
  • Aaron Gordon F
  • DeAndre Jordan C
  • Myles Turner F
  • Elfrid Payton G
  • CJ McCollum G
Tier 5
  • Lonzo Ball G
  • Robert Covington F
  • Harrison Barnes F
  • Darren Collison G
  • Jusuf Nuric C
  • Thaddeus Young F
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Sunday, November 26, 2017

NBA Draft Plays - Sunday November 26th 2017

We have a 3 game slate of NBA action live on Draft this afternoon/evening. Here are my recommended plays today.

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We have Sunday NBA action today! Since Sundays are my busiest days, I'm going to have to give you the quick and dirty version of this article. The biggest draft contest we have today is 3 man contests. Therefore, I'm going to give you 3 tiers of players with each tier having 5 players each. 

There are several questionable status players on this slate. I have reduced them based on where I feel they should be reduced factoring in their injury. However, because this is a small slate, you really have to take your chances. These players are pretty impact players on a slate this size and fading them completely is not recommended.

Tier 1
  • Karl-Anthony Towns F
  • Marc Gasol C
  • Jimmy Butler G
  • Hassan Whiteside C (Questionable Knee Soreness)
  • Jeff Teague G (Questionable Achilles)
Tier 2
  • Devin Booker G (Questionable Right Toe Inflammation)
  • TJ Warren F 
  • Spencer Dinwiddle G
  • Tyreke Evans G
  • Andrew Wiggins F
Tier 3
  • Lauri Markkanen F
  • Taj Gibson F
  • Mario Chalmers G
  • JaMychal Green F
  • Greg Monroe C
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Saturday, November 25, 2017

NBA Draft Plays - Saturday November 25th 2017

We have a 10 game slate tonight on Draft of NBA action. Here are my recommended players to target tonight!

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Tonight we have a 10 game slate of NBA action live on Draft! I normally don't write or play NBA fantasy on Saturday because I'm usually playing fantasy MMA instead. However, the UFC had its card early Saturday morning starting at 3:45am. So I forfeited Friday night's NBA action instead. This left me free to play NBA tonight!

Tonight we have Head 2 Head, 3 Person Draft, 6 Person Draft and 10 Person Draft. We also have Dream Team contests as well as tournaments. Draft has a 6 person draft tournament ($5) a 5 person draft tournament ($23) and a head to head draft tournament ($110). The only tournament I would play is the head to head if that is within your budget.

On the injury front, Giannis Antetokounmpo is probable tonight with a knee injury. Joel Embiid is probable tonight with a cold.

For this slate I'm going to break down the players in 5 tiers. Each tier will have 6 players each. I'm not playing 10 person drafts so you may need to come up with your own players towards the end if you are playing those. Other than that, this should be enough to help you build lineups for all different formats.

Tier 1
  • DeMarcus Cousins C
  • Stephen Curry G
  • James Harden G
  • Russell Westbrook G
  • Anthony Davis F
  • Giannis Antetokounmpo F
Tier 2
  • Joel Embiid C
  • Blake Griffin F
  • Bradley Beal G
  • DeMar DeRozan G
  • Damian Lillard G
  • Kristaps Porzingis F
Tier 3
  • Chris Paul G
  • Kyle Lowry G
  • Kyrie Irving G
  • Draymond Green F
  • Al Horford C
  • LaMarcus Aldridge F
Tier 4
  • Klay Thompson G
  • Paul George F
  • Dwight Howard C
  • Nikola Vucevic C
  • Dennis Schroder G
  • Myles Turner F
Tier 5
  • Robert Covington F
  • Aaron Gordon F
  • Carmelo Anthony F
  • Lou Williams G
  • Clint Capela C
  • Otto Porter Jr F

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NFL Draft Plays - Sunday November 26th 2017

This weekend we have a 13 game slate of NFL action on Draft! Find out which players I recommend you focus on drafting in your lineups this weekend.

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It's the weekend after Thanksgiving! This is one of the biggest shopping weekends of the season. That means it's the perfect time to try and win some money! I remember back in 2015, I had just started a new job so money was tight. However, I was able to take first place in a contest, thus giving me money for Christmas shopping. It was glorious!

This weekend we have a 13 game NFL slate. There are a number of contests available on Draft. We have Head 2 Head, 3 Person Draft, 6 Person Draft and 10 Person Draft. We also have Dream Team contests as well as tournaments. NFL currently has 2 5 person draft tournaments ($10 and $21) as well as one 4 person draft tournament ($69). The 5 person tournaments have a 5 entry max and the 4 person tournament have a 4 entry max. I'm personally not a big fan of the tournaments that are more than 3 entries. However, if you are going to tackle these tournaments, I highly recommend maxing out your entries to give yourself a better chance to win.

On the injury news front, Rob Gronkowski is probable with illness. He said on Friday that he is good to go.

For this slate I am going to break the players down into 5 tiers with 6 players each. I'm not playing 10 mans so if you are, you may need to figure out the latter end of your draft on your own. However, this is a big enough player pool to cover all of the other contest types.

Tier 1
  • Todd Gurley RB
  • Antonio Brown WR/TE
  • LeVeon Bell RB
  • LeSean McCoy RB
  • Tom Brady QB
  • Kareem Hunt RB
Tier 2
  • Tevin Coleman RB
  • Mark Ingram RB
  • Alvin Kamara RB
  • Travis Kelce WR/TE
  • Carlos Hyde RB
  • Rob Gronkowski WR/TE
Tier 3
  • Michael Thomas WR/TE
  • Julio Jones WR/TE
  • Leonard Fournette RB
  • Doug Baldwin WR/TE
  • Russell Wilson QB
  • AJ Green WR/TE
Tier 4
  • Brandin Cooks WR/TE
  • TY Hilton WR/TE
  • Tyreek Hill WR/TE
  • Mike Evans WR/TE
  • Zach Ertz WR/TE
  • Matt Ryan QB
Tier 5
  • Alex Smith QB
  • Jared Goff QB
  • Lamar Miller RB
  • Joe Mixon RB
  • Christian McCaffrey RB
  • Carson Wentz QB
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Friday, November 24, 2017

MMA DraftKings Picks - Saturday November 25th 2017


UFC Fight Night 122: Bisping vs Gastelum live from Shanghai China. Here is my breakdown on my picks for fantasy MMA lineups on DraftKings.

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It's UFC Fight Night 122 live from Shanghai China! This mixed martial arts event has a start time of 3:45AM Eastern Standard Time. Therefore, you want to make sure you make your lineups TONIGHT if you are planning on playing this card. If you wait until tomorrow morning, it will be too late and you won't be able to play.

This is a very interesting card from a fantasy MMA perspective. You have 10 fighters on this card who have never fought in the UFC before. The Main event features a late replacement that just fought a couple of weeks ago. While the prize pools aren't that great, I think if you can take down a GPP, you have a good shot at not having to share the prize pool. There is a lot of uncertainty on this card and I think you can build some unique lineups by picking your spots as far as which underdogs you like.

I have divided the fighters into 3 tiers based on their DraftKings salary. The tiers are as follows:

  • Top Tier - $8,600 and Above
  • Mid Tier - $7,700 to $8,500
  • Value Tier - $7,600 and Below
I will write a full breakdown on my favorite cash fighter and favorite GPP fighter for each tier. I will also list each and every other fighter on that tier and I will rank them as follows:

  • Cash Play - I may use this fighter in a cash lineup or a GPP lineup.
  • GPP Play - I will not use this fighter in a cash lineup but I may use this fighter in a GPP lineup.
  • Fade - I will not use this fighter in any of my lineups.
Let's start with the top tier:

Favorite Cash Fighter: Li JingLang $8,800 - JingLang to me is the best cash play on the card and in my view it's not even close. He's by far the best Chinese fighter on the card fighting in his home country. He has a good combination of striking and grappling averaging 4.68 significant strikes per minute and 1.69 takedowns per fight. I have his floor as out-striking and out-grappling Ottow to a decision victory. His upside is definitely a knockout, which he has done in 3 out of his last 5 fights. His DraftKings logs are outstanding. Over the last five fights his lowest score was a 58 in a loss. He's the first name I'm clicking when I build my cash lineup and he will make up a significant amount of my GPP lineups as well.

Favorite GPP Fighter: Muslim Sallikhov $8,900 - Salikhov is one of the top prospects on this card and for good reason. He is the first non-Chinese fighter to EVER be crowned King of Kung Fu. He is extremely dangerous with a lethal combination of power in his hands as well as in his feet. He hasn't lost a fight since 2012 and almost every single one of his fights he has finished. So I will have my fair share of him in my GPP lineups. I can't touch him in cash though. After all he is making his UFC debut so we don't know if his talent can transcend to a higher level of competition. Garcia is a strong wrestler with power in his hands so this will be a great test for him. 

Other Top Tier Fighters
  • Zabit Magomedsharipov $9,300 (Cash Play)
  • Cyril Asker $9,200 (GPP Play)
  • Bobby Nash $9,100 (Cash Play)
  • Kevin Gastelum $9,000 (Cash Play)
  • Rolando Dy $8,700 (GPP Play)
  • Song Yadong $8,600 (GPP Play)
Let's move on to the Mid Tier:

Favorite Cash Fighter: Gina Mazany $8,400 - Mazany was a huge underdog in her debut fight, a late replacement against top ranked bantamweight Sara McMann and she got choked out in the first round. This is a much better spot for her. She gets a full camp. She's won all her other professional fights. She's got good striking and she's very physical. She's got a 2 inch reach advantage. She's also fought FAR better competition than Yanan who hasn't fought anybody other than regional fighters in and around China. Vegas has her as a slight favorite over Yanan and they are giving her singificantly better inside the distance odds. I see her floor as losing a close decision and her ceiling as getting a knockout. She to me is the safest play in the mid tier on this card.

Favorite GPP Fighter: Wang Guan $7,700 - I actually have Alex Caceres winning the fight. I feel he is the more technically skilled fighter. However, he is also very inconsistent and cannot be trusted.  That's why I like Guan as a GPP play. Guan is a tough fighter that hits hard and although Caceres is the favorite, Vegas actually gives Guan better inside the distance odds to get a finish than Caceres. The fight is a pretty high favorite to go the distance and realistically if it doesn't it's more likely that Guan won as oppose to Caceres. He's clearly not a cash play and he probably doesn't even win the fight. However, in case he does and he certainly can, he's a great fighter to have some exposure to in your lineups. I also don't mind him for cash as well. I don't see him getting finished so he should have 3 full rounds to accumulate points.

Other Mid Tier Fighters:
  • Alex Caceres $8,500 (Cash Play)
  • Kailin Curran $8,300 (GPP Play)
  • Shamil Abdurakhimov $8,200 (Cash Play)
  • Chase Sherman $8,000 (GPP Play)
  • Yan Xiaonan $7,900 (GPP Play)
  • Wu Yanan $7,800 (Fade)
Finally, let's take a look at the value tier:

Favorite Cash Fighter: Bharat Kandare $7,600 - Kandare is clearly the best play at the value tier. Although he is an underdog he's only a slight underdog at +135 odds to win. His opponent Song Yadong is also making his UFC debut and is a striker while Kandare is a grappler and a powerful one at that. The key for him is to keep it close and control the fight as a pure wrestling and grappling affair. Yadong is an excellent striker and if this becomes a striking affair I don't like his chances. However, if he can keep it wrestling I believe he will win this fight.

Favorite GPP Fighter: Michael Bisping $7,200 - I have Gastelum winning this fight but Bisping is the best fighter remaining in the value tier. He is obviously the former middleweight champion of the world and is coming off a loss against George St Pierre 3 weeks ago. He is taking this fight on short notice due to a failed drug test by Anderson Silva. On paper this looks like a the classic train headed towards the end of the cliff where the tracks end and Bisping is that train. However, at a price tag of only $7,200 and with not a lot of options that I like on the value tier, I don't mind taking some shots with Bisping. I also don't mind him in cash to save room especially with a potential although unlikely 5 round fight.

Other Value Tier Fighters:
  • Wuliji Buren $7,500 (Fade)
  • Zak Ottow $7,400 (Fade)
  • Alex Garcia $7,300 (GPP Play)
  • Song Kenan $7,100 (Fade)
  • Hu Yaozong $7,000 (Fade)
  • Sheymon Moraes $6,900 (Fade)
Finally, here are some bets you can consider. The heavier favorite fighters, you can pair with 1 or 2 other fighters that you like OR you can pair with some NFL teams that you like tomorrow so you can get a better payout.
  • Zabit Magomedsharipov -550
  • Cyril Asker -250
  • Li Jingliang -190
  • Kalian Curran +130
  • Bharat Khandare +125
Magomedsharipov and Asker parlay at $100 pays out $65.45. Add Jingliang and that pays out $152.54. A full parlay of all 5 fighters pays out $1206.87. This is provided for illustrative purposes only. 


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Wednesday, November 22, 2017

NBA DraftKings Plays - Wednesday November 22nd 2017

We have a GIGANTIC 14 game slate of NBA action tonight on DraftKings. I have put together a list of a number of plays that I like in cash and GPP. Here are the players I like tonight.

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Since I had to do NFL articles today, I'm giving you the quick and dirty version of who I like tonight on DraftKings

  • Last time out my cash lineup did terrible. However, I took down 9th and 11th place in GPPs so I was able to walk away with more than 5 and 1/2 times entry fees.
  • Giannis Antetokounmpo is out tonight due to a knee injury. As a result, I am upgrading both Eric Bledsoe and Khris Middleton as I expect both to get increased usage as a result.
Here are the players that I'm targeting tonight in each price tier:

Top Tier: $9,100 and Up

Cash Play: DeMarcus Cousins $10,300 PF/C - He's got a tough matchup tonight against the Spurs so his Vegas Implied total, DvP and DRPM are all on the low side. However, there are a few key reasons why I still like Cousins for cash tonight. For starters, he's hit at least 4x value over 92% of the time this season. Secondly, his price tag is one of the lowest price tags that he has had all season.

GPP Play: Kevin Durant $10,000 SF/PF - I'm a fan of revenge narratives and Durant plays his old team tonight. He's hit at least 5x value every game they played the Thunder last season. While the Thunder are a different team this year, I still expect Durant to be highly motivated to put on a show tonight. Plus, with the huge slate and the injury tag potentially taking ownership away from him, I love the thought of firing up Durant in GPPs tonight.

Other Plays I Like
  • LeBron James $11,400 SF/PF (Cash & GPP)
  • Blake Griffin $9,300 PF/C (Cash & GPP)
Mid Tier: $6,000 to $8,900

Cash Play: Eric Bledsoe $6,500 PG/SG - I told you before I'm a fan of revenge narratives and they get no bigger than Eric Bledsoe tonight against his old team the Suns. Bledsoe left on bad terms so he's going to be highly motivated to show off tonight. He becomes the number one option tonight now that ABC is out. He has a JUICY matchup tonight against the Suns with the 4th highest Vegas Implied Total, the worst team in the league at limiting fantasy points to the point guard position and a defender with a negative DRPM. He was the very first person I selected tonight for my cash lineups.

GPP Play: Kevin Love $7,900 PF/C - I never get this guy right but this matchup is too good to pass up on. Against the Brooklyn Nets I expect the field to go to LeBron. That makes Love a great pivot for GPPs. His team has the highest implied Vegas total tonight. Brooklyn is one of the worst teams at limiting fantasy points to the Power Forward position. His defender also has a negative DRPM. I love me some Love tonight!

Other Plays I Like
  • Kyle Lowry $8,200 PG (GPP)
  • Kemba Walker $8,000 PG (Cash & GPP)
  • Khris Middleton $6,900 SG/SF (Cash & GPP)
  • Jimmy Butler $7,400 SG (GPP)
  • Spencer Dinwiddle $6,300 PG/SG (Cash & GPP)
  • Evan Fournier $6,300 SG/SF (Cash & GPP)
  • Rondae Hollis-Jefferson $6,400 SF/PF (Cash & GPP)
  • Carmelo Anthony $6,700 SF/PF (Cash & GPP)
  • Nikola Vucevic $6,900 C (Cash & GPP)
Value Tier: $5.900 & Below

Cash Play: John Collins $4,600 PF/C - Both Luke Babbit and Mike Muscala have been ruled out tonight so that makes John Collins a solid play in all formats. The Clippers haven't been great at limiting the fantasy production of either Power Forward or Center so far this season. Collins has also been pretty consistent, hitting at least 4x value more than 76% of the time. He's also hit 6x value at least 41% of the time giving him a nice floor and a nice ceiling tonight.

GPP Play: Trevor Ariza $5,200 SG/SF - Ariza has a great matchup tonight against the Nuggets. His team has the 2nd highest implied total on the slate. The Nuggets are one of the worst teams in the league at limiting fantasy points to the small forward position. Their defender also has a negative DRPM. Ariza has a decent ceiling as well hitting 5x value at least 40% of the time.

Other Plays I Like
  • Rajan Rondo $4,800 PG (GPP)
  • Allen Crabbe $4,600 SG/SF (Cash & GPP)
  • Gary Harris $5,200 SG (Cash & GPP)
  • DeMarre Carroll $5,300 SF/PF (Cash & GPP)
  • PJ Tucker $3,800 SF/PF (GPP)
  • Taj Gibson $5,300 PF/C (GPP)
  • Marquese Chriss $3,900 PF/C (GPP)
  • Thon Maker $3,300 PF/C (GPP)
  • Greg Monroe $4,600 PF/C (GPP)
  • Frank Mason $3,000 PG/SG (GPP)
  • Kyle Krover $3,600 SG/SF (GPP)

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NBA Draft Plays - November 22nd 2017

We have a HUGE 14 game slate tonight of NBA action. I've put together some plays that I recommend for the Draft app/website. Check them out!

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Since I had to do both NFL and NBA today, I'm going to give you the quick and dirty version of the article today. 

  • I am fading Draft Tournaments today. Don't like 5 man and 6 man tournaments on a slate like this.
  • Giannis Antetokounmpo is out tonight due to a knee injury. As a result, I am upgrading both Eric Bledsoe and Khris Middleton as I expect both to get increased usage as a result.
  • I am only playing H2H contests, 3 Person Contests and Dream Team Contests tonight. All other contests I am fading.
Here are the players that I am targeting tonight. I have three tiers of players with each tier having 5 players each:

Tier 1
  • LeBron James F
  • James Harden G
  • DeMarcus Cousins C
  • Russell Westbrook G
  • Anthony Davis F
Tier 2
  • Kevin Durant F (Probable ankle injury)
  • Ben Simmons F
  • Joel Embiid C
  • Damian Lillard G
  • Blake Griffin F
Tier 3
  • Stephen Curry G
  • Eric Bledsoe G
  • Nikola Jokic C
  • Kristaps Porzingis F
  • Khris Middleton G
Dream Team Only
  • Tyreke Evans G
  • Kemba Walker G
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